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Red139
461362.2
887123.7
427047.2
Blue156
425356.0
35951.9
244520.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143130100120160180200139156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.1
61.861.9
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
red by 6.2
56.00.6
54.455.0
Auto16.3
Teleop29.8
End9.8
Second
47.20.1
46.847.0
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
blue by 4.7
359
#7
51.90.6
50.451.0
Auto14.9
Teleop28.2
End8.8
Third
8871
#16
23.70.1
23.423.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.8
red by 3.1
2445
#32
20.70.6
19.219.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6