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Red115
246535.2
850323.4
252241.0
Blue128
872532.9
36846.7
388237.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011336080120160180200115128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#12
41.00.4
40.641.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End6.9
blue by 5.7
368
#5
46.70.1
47.847.9
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End7.7
Second
35.20.4
34.835.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End8.7
blue by 2.6
37.80.1
38.838.9
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End8.7
Third
8503
#19
23.40.4
23.123.4
Auto10.9
Teleop4.1
End8.4
blue by 9.5
8725
#17
32.90.1
34.034.1
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End7.6