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Red141
461362.2
887123.7
427047.2
Blue117
872532.9
36846.7
388237.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412480100160180200141117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.1
61.761.8
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
red by 15.5
368
#5
46.70.2
47.347.1
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End7.7
Second
47.20.1
46.746.8
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
red by 9.3
37.80.2
38.438.2
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End8.7
Third
8871
#16
23.70.1
23.323.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.8
blue by 9.2
8725
#17
32.90.2
33.533.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End7.6