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Red148
244520.7
35951.9
425356.0
Blue114
252241.0
850323.4
246535.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136986080120160180200148114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.5
54.054.4
Auto16.3
Teleop29.8
End9.8
red by 15.0
2522
#12
41.00.3
40.140.4
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End6.9
Second
359
#7
51.90.5
49.950.4
Auto14.9
Teleop28.2
End8.8
red by 16.7
35.20.3
34.334.6
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End8.7
Third
2445
#32
20.70.5
18.719.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6
blue by 2.8
8503
#19
23.40.3
22.522.8
Auto10.9
Teleop4.1
End8.4