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Red106
635743.8
918233.5
61048.5
Blue149
642933.7
170657.4
198653.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125151050100200250300350106149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#30
48.51.0
47.846.8
Auto13.9
Teleop25.7
End8.3
blue by 9.0
1706
#21
57.40.1
58.958.9
Auto15.6
Teleop34.4
End7.1
Second
6357
#24
43.81.0
44.143.1
Auto12.7
Teleop23.6
End7.4
blue by 10.0
1986
#10
53.80.1
43.343.3
Auto14.5
Teleop29.5
End8.7
Third
9182
#50
33.51.0
28.927.9
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End6.6
blue by 0.2
6429
#39
33.70.1
36.036.1
Auto8.7
Teleop17.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned