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Red130
260948.1
801943.9
745763.6
Blue114
205255.5
908226.7
365428.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17110450150200250130114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#20
63.61.5
61.660.1
Auto14.1
Teleop41.5
End7.2
red by 8.0
2052
#47
55.50.5
57.057.6
Auto14.9
Teleop31.8
End8.7
Second
2609
#26
48.11.5
50.248.7
Auto13.2
Teleop27.1
End7.6
red by 19.7
3654
#63
28.40.5
28.729.3
Auto9.8
Teleop11.6
End7.6
Third
8019
#41
43.91.5
40.639.1
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End8.3
red by 17.2
9082
#61
26.70.5
20.220.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned