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Red117
36539.5
911828.6
413531.7
Blue176
34162.2
635743.8
172768.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89187050150200250117176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#37
39.51.1
39.440.5
Auto11.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
blue by 28.9
1727
#18
68.50.5
69.570.0
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
Second
4135
#68
31.71.1
29.630.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End5.0
blue by 30.5
341
#28
62.20.5
59.059.5
Auto14.1
Teleop37.2
End8.8
Third
9118
#43
28.61.1
27.028.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.8
End8.0
blue by 15.2
6357
#24
43.80.5
41.542.0
Auto12.7
Teleop23.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed97%Activation oddsEarned