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Red196
363662.0
198653.8
439166.7
Blue126
293063.6
249545.2
651728.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17714150100200250196126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#11
66.72.3
63.766.0
Auto16.1
Teleop38.8
End8.3
red by 3.1
2930
#13
63.61.0
64.163.1
Auto17.1
Teleop37.4
End7.8
Second
62.02.3
54.056.3
Auto12.5
Teleop37.9
End9.6
red by 16.7
2495
#29
45.21.0
46.045.0
Auto10.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
Third
1986
#10
53.82.3
50.452.7
Auto14.5
Teleop29.5
End8.7
red by 25.2
6517
#72
28.71.0
26.425.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned78%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned