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Red166
204674.8
409647.2
248159.9
Blue137
198766.2
99944.6
413531.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18614450100200250166137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.6
73.973.3
Auto18.3
Teleop42.8
End10.4
red by 8.6
1987
#12
66.20.2
65.365.1
Auto15.6
Teleop42.4
End7.2
Second
59.90.6
60.960.4
Auto15.7
Teleop35.2
End7.9
red by 15.4
999
#51
44.60.2
45.345.1
Auto11.9
Teleop23.0
End9.4
Third
4096
#23
47.20.6
43.943.3
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
red by 15.5
4135
#68
31.70.2
30.730.4
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned