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Qual 1092023 Hopper Division
Red147
179926.9
132382.8
77235.7
Blue121
198653.8
172768.5
36539.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149169100200250147121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#1
82.80.3
79.6→79.9
Auto20.8
Teleop51.3
End9.3
red by 14.3
1727
#18
68.52.4
70.0→67.6
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
Second
772
#27
35.70.3
33.8→34.1
Auto7.9
Teleop20.9
End7.5
blue by 18.2
1986
#10
53.82.4
52.7→50.4
Auto14.5
Teleop29.5
End8.7
Third
1799
#53
26.90.3
28.3→28.6
Auto6.5
Teleop14.4
End6.1
blue by 12.6
365
#37
39.52.4
40.5→38.1
Auto11.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed