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Red122
564813.2
179653.4
635743.8
Blue118
552638.9
920226.5
651728.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12483050100150200122118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#35
53.40.4
54.855.2
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End10.4
red by 14.5
5526
#55
38.92.3
34.336.6
Auto12.1
Teleop19.1
End8.0
Second
6357
#24
43.80.4
42.042.4
Auto12.7
Teleop23.6
End7.4
red by 15.1
6517
#72
28.72.3
25.427.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End6.6
Third
5648
#70
13.20.4
14.514.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End3.8
blue by 13.3
9202
#66
26.52.3
23.525.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned