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Red139
642933.7
908226.7
740766.6
Blue146
180754.7
19031.2
468247.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13014150100200250139146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#31
66.60.7
65.566.2
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End7.5
red by 11.9
1807
#19
54.70.7
53.854.5
Auto10.4
Teleop35.6
End6.5
Second
6429
#39
33.70.7
34.134.8
Auto8.7
Teleop17.9
End7.1
blue by 13.6
4682
#64
47.30.7
45.946.6
Auto15.3
Teleop25.2
End6.7
Third
9082
#61
26.70.7
23.524.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.3
End6.4
blue by 4.5
190
#67
31.20.7
30.931.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned