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Red157
6834.6
10744.4
34162.2
Blue197
87657.8
439166.7
441468.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13520150100150250157197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#28
62.21.5
59.561.0
Auto14.1
Teleop37.2
End8.8
blue by 6.2
4414
#17
68.50.7
65.666.3
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
Second
107
#46
44.41.5
43.645.1
Auto13.1
Teleop24.1
End6.9
blue by 22.3
4391
#11
66.70.7
66.066.7
Auto16.1
Teleop38.8
End8.3
Third
68
#42
34.61.5
32.033.4
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End8.3
blue by 23.2
876
#14
57.80.7
57.057.7
Auto15.9
Teleop33.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned