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Red98
35339.2
512316.2
99944.6
Blue151
911828.6
233866.3
179238.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313905015020098151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#51
44.60.5
45.144.6
Auto11.9
Teleop23.0
End9.4
blue by 21.7
66.31.7
63.565.1
Auto14.3
Teleop41.4
End8.8
Second
353
#49
39.20.5
40.239.7
Auto11.5
Teleop23.6
End4.8
red by 0.8
1792
#34
38.31.7
34.436.1
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End7.2
Third
5123
#76
16.20.5
15.615.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 12.4
9118
#43
28.61.7
28.029.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned