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Red95
301916.5
131119.0
740766.6
Blue171
198653.8
49847.3
908226.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071295015020095171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#31
66.60.5
66.265.7
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End7.5
red by 12.8
1986
#10
53.82.5
50.452.9
Auto14.5
Teleop29.5
End8.7
Second
1311
#73
19.00.5
19.519.0
Auto11.2
Teleop5.3
End2.9
blue by 28.3
498
#40
47.32.5
43.746.2
Auto12.3
Teleop26.9
End8.1
Third
3019
#74
16.50.5
17.016.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4
blue by 10.2
9082
#61
26.72.5
24.226.7
Auto8.3
Teleop12.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned