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Red155
441468.5
672132.8
180754.7
Blue119
651728.7
926041.3
216948.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16711850100150200250155119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#17
68.50.2
66.366.5
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
red by 20.2
2169
#48
48.30.1
48.148.3
Auto14.0
Teleop26.8
End7.4
Second
1807
#19
54.70.2
54.554.7
Auto10.4
Teleop35.6
End6.5
red by 13.4
9260
#60
41.30.1
41.241.3
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End3.0
Third
6721
#57
32.80.2
32.632.8
Auto10.1
Teleop17.2
End6.1
red by 4.1
6517
#72
28.70.1
27.727.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed