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Qual 152023 Hopper Division
Red137
132382.8
564813.2
642933.7
Blue123
413531.7
216948.3
179238.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138105406080120160180200137123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#1
82.80.8
77.2→78.0
Auto20.8
Teleop51.3
End9.3
red by 34.5
2169
#48
48.31.4
41.0→42.4
Auto14.0
Teleop26.8
End7.4
Second
6429
#39
33.71.1
36.1→37.1
Auto8.7
Teleop17.9
End7.1
blue by 4.7
1792
#34
38.31.4
30.1→31.4
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End7.2
Third
5648
#70
13.20.8
11.8→12.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End3.8
blue by 18.5
4135
#68
31.71.4
31.4→32.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed