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Red170
170657.4
172768.5
552638.9
Blue122
99944.6
672132.8
801943.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176109050150200250170122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#18
68.50.5
67.467.9
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
red by 23.9
999
#51
44.60.7
44.845.6
Auto11.9
Teleop23.0
End9.4
Second
1706
#21
57.40.5
57.458.0
Auto15.6
Teleop34.4
End7.1
red by 13.5
8019
#41
43.90.7
39.239.9
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End8.3
Third
5526
#55
38.90.5
33.233.8
Auto12.1
Teleop19.1
End8.0
red by 6.1
6721
#57
32.80.7
26.927.6
Auto10.1
Teleop17.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned