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Red123
441468.5
318925.5
19031.2
Blue173
293063.6
745763.6
635743.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11118050100150200250123173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#17
68.50.3
66.366.7
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
red by 4.9
7457
#20
63.60.8
60.161.0
Auto14.1
Teleop41.5
End7.2
Second
190
#67
31.20.3
25.225.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End6.7
blue by 32.4
2930
#13
63.60.8
58.859.6
Auto17.1
Teleop37.4
End7.8
Third
3189
#52
25.50.3
21.421.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End4.8
blue by 18.3
6357
#24
43.80.8
43.144.0
Auto12.7
Teleop23.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned