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Red104
87657.8
468247.3
911828.6
Blue185
49847.3
363662.0
24558.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128165100150200104185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#14
57.81.4
50.248.8
Auto15.9
Teleop33.4
End8.0
blue by 4.2
62.02.0
50.552.4
Auto12.5
Teleop37.9
End9.6
Second
4682
#64
47.31.4
48.346.9
Auto15.3
Teleop25.2
End6.7
blue by 10.9
245
#32
58.22.0
57.159.1
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End8.4
Third
9118
#43
28.61.4
26.525.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.8
End8.0
blue by 18.7
498
#40
47.32.0
43.545.5
Auto12.3
Teleop26.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsMissed87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned