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Red110
920226.5
683220.5
198653.8
Blue174
426558.9
409647.2
180754.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75155050100200250110174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#10
53.82.0
43.345.3
Auto14.5
Teleop29.5
End8.7
blue by 5.1
58.92.6
49.952.4
Auto15.4
Teleop36.2
End6.9
Second
9202
#66
26.52.0
20.922.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.2
blue by 28.2
1807
#19
54.72.6
53.055.5
Auto10.4
Teleop35.6
End6.5
Third
6832
#69
20.52.0
16.218.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End6.7
blue by 26.7
4096
#23
47.22.6
37.540.1
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned