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Red95
651728.7
567543.9
179926.9
Blue160
10744.4
204674.8
493031.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9715205020025095160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#58
43.90.2
46.546.3
Auto13.7
Teleop23.2
End6.7
blue by 31.0
74.81.3
68.269.4
Auto18.3
Teleop42.8
End10.4
Second
6517
#72
28.70.2
29.729.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End6.6
blue by 15.7
107
#46
44.41.3
42.043.2
Auto13.1
Teleop24.1
End6.9
Third
1799
#53
26.90.2
22.021.8
Auto6.5
Teleop14.4
End6.1
blue by 4.7
4930
#59
31.71.3
28.429.7
Auto6.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned