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Red182
179238.3
61048.5
132382.8
Blue165
198766.2
49847.3
566739.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170148100200250182165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.81.4
78.079.4
Auto20.8
Teleop51.3
End9.3
red by 16.7
1987
#12
66.21.2
64.265.5
Auto15.6
Teleop42.4
End7.2
Second
610
#30
48.51.4
47.548.9
Auto13.9
Teleop25.7
End8.3
red by 1.1
498
#40
47.31.2
45.546.7
Auto12.3
Teleop26.9
End8.1
Third
1792
#34Sur
38.31.4
31.432.8
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End7.2
blue by 1.6
5667
#38Sur
39.91.2
31.632.9
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned