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Red131
20135.4
205255.5
907126.1
Blue147
172768.5
911828.6
57353.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11914450100200250300131147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#47
55.51.1
57.258.2
Auto14.9
Teleop31.8
End8.7
blue by 13.0
1727
#18
68.50.3
65.966.3
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
Second
201
#62
35.41.1
36.037.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.7
End6.1
blue by 17.6
573
#6
53.00.3
42.242.6
Auto14.3
Teleop32.2
End6.1
Third
9071
#44
26.11.1
21.622.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End6.7
blue by 2.5
9118
#43
28.60.3
25.125.4
Auto7.2
Teleop13.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned