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Red164
87657.8
335763.7
234129.1
Blue94
567543.9
493031.7
908226.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489505020025016494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.72.1
65.467.5
Auto17.1
Teleop34.6
End10.0
red by 19.8
5675
#58
43.90.4
46.345.9
Auto13.7
Teleop23.2
End6.7
Second
876
#14
57.82.1
48.850.9
Auto15.9
Teleop33.4
End8.0
red by 26.1
4930
#59
31.70.4
29.729.2
Auto6.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
Third
2341
#33
29.12.1
19.521.6
Auto2.7
Teleop18.9
End7.8
red by 2.4
9082
#61
26.70.4
19.519.1
Auto8.3
Teleop12.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed