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Red150
24558.2
926041.3
552638.9
Blue128
409647.2
440043.9
35339.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136137110120130140150160170150128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#32
58.21.4
59.160.5
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End8.4
red by 11.0
4096
#23
47.20.1
40.140.2
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
Second
9260
#60
41.31.4
39.140.5
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End3.0
blue by 2.6
4400
#16
43.90.1
44.444.4
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End7.7
Third
5526
#55
38.91.4
30.632.0
Auto12.1
Teleop19.1
End8.0
blue by 0.3
353
#49
39.20.1
42.242.3
Auto11.5
Teleop23.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned