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Qual 392023 Hopper Division
Red148
204674.8
918233.5
911828.6
Blue143
740766.6
6834.6
566739.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131136050100200250300350148143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#4
74.81.6
69.4→71.1
Auto18.3
Teleop42.8
End10.4
red by 8.2
7407
#31
66.61.1
59.8→60.9
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End7.5
Second
9182
#50
33.51.6
28.9→30.5
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End6.6
blue by 6.4
5667
#38
39.91.1
32.9→33.9
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End6.7
Third
9118
#43
28.61.6
25.4→27.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.8
End8.0
blue by 6.0
68
#42
34.61.1
34.4→35.5
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed