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Red154
179238.3
49847.3
205255.5
Blue168
22647.8
439166.7
433655.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14416450100200250154168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#47
55.51.1
58.259.3
Auto14.9
Teleop31.8
End8.7
blue by 11.2
4391
#11
66.71.1
62.863.9
Auto16.1
Teleop38.8
End8.3
Second
498
#40
47.31.1
46.747.8
Auto12.3
Teleop26.9
End8.1
blue by 8.3
4336
#22
55.61.1
51.652.7
Auto12.3
Teleop34.2
End7.6
Third
1792
#34
38.31.1
32.833.9
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End7.2
blue by 9.5
226
#25
47.81.1
43.344.4
Auto11.3
Teleop26.8
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned