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Red114
635743.8
209645.9
363662.0
Blue131
216948.3
179926.9
10744.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15411050200250114131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.01.7
52.650.9
Auto12.5
Teleop37.9
End9.6
red by 13.7
2169
#48
48.31.5
43.845.3
Auto14.0
Teleop26.8
End7.4
Second
2096
#36
45.91.7
44.342.7
Auto10.3
Teleop29.8
End5.2
red by 1.5
107
#46
44.41.5
42.343.8
Auto13.1
Teleop24.1
End6.9
Third
6357
#24
43.81.7
43.041.4
Auto12.7
Teleop23.6
End7.4
red by 16.9
1799
#53
26.91.5
22.724.2
Auto6.5
Teleop14.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned