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Red138
99944.6
873645.0
179653.4
Blue169
907126.1
426558.9
132382.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149168100120140160180200220138169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#35
53.41.0
54.253.3
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End10.4
blue by 29.4
82.80.6
79.480.0
Auto20.8
Teleop51.3
End9.3
Second
8736
#56
45.01.0
45.244.3
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End7.5
blue by 13.9
58.90.6
53.253.8
Auto15.4
Teleop36.2
End6.9
Third
999
#51
44.61.0
44.843.8
Auto11.9
Teleop23.0
End9.4
red by 18.5
9071
#44
26.10.6
22.723.3
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsMissed84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned