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Red98
908226.7
69649.0
558722.4
Blue159
36539.5
249545.2
204674.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7117505010015020025098159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#8
49.00.9
36.437.3
Auto10.3
Teleop31.3
End7.4
blue by 25.8
74.80.2
71.170.9
Auto18.3
Teleop42.8
End10.4
Second
9082
#61
26.70.9
19.120.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.3
End6.4
blue by 18.5
2495
#29
45.20.2
48.648.5
Auto10.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
Third
5587
#77
22.40.9
23.924.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End3.7
blue by 17.1
365
#37
39.50.2
39.939.7
Auto11.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned