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Red103
271821.7
581611.5
468247.3
Blue143
441468.5
440043.9
131119.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68148050100200103143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4682
#64
47.31.9
42.844.8
Auto15.3
Teleop25.2
End6.7
blue by 21.2
4414
#17
68.50.1
66.866.7
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
Second
2718
#71
21.71.9
18.820.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End6.0
blue by 22.2
4400
#16
43.90.1
44.444.4
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End7.7
Third
5816
#75
11.51.9
12.214.2
Auto7.0
Teleop0.9
End4.1
blue by 7.5
1311
#73
19.00.1
17.217.1
Auto11.2
Teleop5.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed57%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed