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Red125
445024.7
198766.2
602427.3
Blue124
234129.1
740766.6
512316.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12710550150200125124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#12
66.20.6
65.566.1
Auto15.6
Teleop42.4
End7.2
blue by 0.5
7407
#31
66.61.5
60.962.4
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End7.5
Second
6024
#45
27.30.6
25.926.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End5.7
blue by 1.7
2341
#33
29.11.5
21.623.1
Auto2.7
Teleop18.9
End7.8
Third
4450
#54
24.70.6
24.725.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End5.0
red by 8.5
5123
#76
16.21.5
18.620.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed