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Red144
918233.5
172768.5
35339.2
Blue164
260948.1
87657.8
318925.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521276080100140160180200220144164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#18
68.50.3
66.366.6
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
red by 10.7
876
#14
57.82.4
50.953.3
Auto15.9
Teleop33.4
End8.0
Second
353
#49
39.20.3
42.342.6
Auto11.5
Teleop23.6
End4.8
blue by 8.9
2609
#26
48.12.4
50.653.0
Auto13.2
Teleop27.1
End7.6
Third
9182
#50
33.50.3
30.530.9
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End6.6
red by 8.0
3189
#52
25.52.4
20.923.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned