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Red164
34162.2
301916.5
409647.2
Blue87
651728.7
642933.7
801943.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410505015020016487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#28
62.21.7
56.758.4
Auto14.1
Teleop37.2
End8.8
red by 18.3
8019
#41
43.91.3
39.338.0
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End8.3
Second
4096
#23
47.21.7
40.241.9
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
red by 13.5
6429
#39
33.71.4
36.535.1
Auto8.7
Teleop17.9
End7.1
Third
3019
#74
16.51.7
17.419.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4
blue by 12.2
6517
#72
28.71.3
25.424.1
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned