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Red164
172768.5
209645.9
433655.6
Blue85
468247.3
564813.2
493031.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175875010015020025016485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#18
68.50.1
65.965.9
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
red by 21.2
4682
#64
47.31.3
49.648.3
Auto15.3
Teleop25.2
End6.7
Second
4336
#22
55.60.1
51.251.3
Auto12.3
Teleop34.2
End7.6
red by 23.9
4930
#59
31.71.3
29.728.4
Auto6.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
Third
2096
#36
45.90.1
44.644.7
Auto10.3
Teleop29.8
End5.2
red by 32.7
5648
#70
13.21.4
13.211.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed