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Red128
179238.3
20135.4
87657.8
Blue92
445024.7
651728.7
413531.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129865010015012892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#14
57.80.3
50.550.2
Auto15.9
Teleop33.4
End8.0
red by 26.1
4135
#68
31.70.1
31.331.4
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End5.0
Second
1792
#34
38.30.3
30.430.1
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End7.2
red by 9.7
6517
#72
28.70.1
29.729.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End6.6
Third
201
#62
35.40.3
34.934.6
Auto10.1
Teleop19.7
End6.1
red by 10.8
4450
#54
24.70.1
25.325.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed