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Red130
99944.6
10744.4
234129.1
Blue159
293063.6
260948.1
558722.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109152050200250130159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#51
44.61.5
45.647.0
Auto11.9
Teleop23.0
End9.4
blue by 19.0
2930
#13
63.61.1
64.665.7
Auto17.1
Teleop37.4
End7.8
Second
107
#46
44.41.5
39.741.2
Auto13.1
Teleop24.1
End6.9
blue by 3.7
2609
#26
48.11.1
48.950.0
Auto13.2
Teleop27.1
End7.6
Third
2341
#33
29.11.5
22.624.0
Auto2.7
Teleop18.9
End7.8
red by 6.7
5587
#77
22.41.1
24.125.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned