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Red123
6834.6
421339.2
441468.5
Blue92
512316.2
49847.3
209645.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531115010020025012392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#17
68.51.4
67.065.6
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
red by 21.1
498
#40
47.31.2
46.745.5
Auto12.3
Teleop26.9
End8.1
Second
4213
#65
39.21.4
39.037.6
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End8.7
blue by 6.7
2096
#36
45.91.2
43.642.5
Auto10.3
Teleop29.8
End5.2
Third
68
#42
34.61.4
32.431.0
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End8.3
red by 18.4
5123
#76
16.21.2
19.318.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsMissed51%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed