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Red145
69649.0
920226.5
745763.6
Blue131
301916.5
179238.3
172768.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131127100120140160180145131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#20
63.61.5
61.062.5
Auto14.1
Teleop41.5
End7.2
blue by 4.9
1727
#18
68.50.4
69.169.5
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
Second
696
#8
49.01.5
40.341.8
Auto10.3
Teleop31.3
End7.4
red by 10.6
1792
#34
38.30.4
33.934.3
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End7.2
Third
9202
#66
26.51.5
21.122.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.2
red by 10.0
3019
#74
16.50.4
17.017.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned