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Red114
801943.9
907126.1
19031.2
Blue146
179926.9
445024.7
204674.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90137050150200114146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8019
#41
43.91.6
40.241.8
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End8.3
blue by 30.9
74.81.6
72.173.7
Auto18.3
Teleop42.8
End10.4
Second
190
#67
31.21.6
29.731.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End6.7
red by 4.3
1799
#53
26.91.6
26.327.9
Auto6.5
Teleop14.4
End6.1
Third
9071
#44
26.11.6
20.321.9
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End6.7
red by 1.4
4450
#54
24.71.6
24.626.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned