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Red126
911828.6
651728.7
426558.9
Blue124
48858.2
271821.7
926041.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713550150200126124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.91.5
53.254.7
Auto15.4
Teleop36.2
End6.9
red by 0.8
488
#15
58.20.2
57.957.7
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End10.4
Second
6517
#72
28.71.5
24.926.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End6.6
blue by 12.7
9260
#60
41.30.2
41.941.7
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End3.0
Third
9118
#43
28.61.5
25.527.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.8
End8.0
red by 6.9
2718
#71
21.70.2
22.922.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed