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Red174
335763.7
249545.2
132382.8
Blue108
10744.4
20135.4
131119.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21487050150200250300174108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.81.4
81.079.6
Auto20.8
Teleop51.3
End9.3
red by 38.4
107
#46
44.40.7
41.241.9
Auto13.1
Teleop24.1
End6.9
Second
63.71.4
67.165.7
Auto17.1
Teleop34.6
End10.0
red by 28.2
201
#62
35.40.7
38.439.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.7
End6.1
Third
2495
#29
45.21.4
47.446.0
Auto10.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
red by 26.2
1311
#73
19.00.7
18.018.7
Auto11.2
Teleop5.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned