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Red128
77235.7
433655.6
260948.1
Blue177
409647.2
87657.8
740766.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145169100200250128177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#22
55.60.7
54.353.5
Auto12.3
Teleop34.2
End7.6
blue by 11.1
7407
#31
66.61.4
63.264.6
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End7.5
Second
2609
#26
48.10.7
50.049.3
Auto13.2
Teleop27.1
End7.6
blue by 9.7
876
#14
57.81.4
56.257.6
Auto15.9
Teleop33.4
End8.0
Third
772
#27
35.70.7
34.733.9
Auto7.9
Teleop20.9
End7.5
blue by 11.5
4096
#23
47.21.4
42.744.1
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsMissed95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned