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Red108
49847.3
642933.7
365428.4
Blue152
48858.2
907126.1
248159.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11415450100200250108152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#40
47.31.3
45.544.3
Auto12.3
Teleop26.9
End8.1
blue by 12.6
59.90.2
60.860.9
Auto15.7
Teleop35.2
End7.9
Second
6429
#39
33.71.3
35.334.1
Auto8.7
Teleop17.9
End7.1
blue by 24.5
488
#15
58.20.2
57.757.8
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End10.4
Third
3654
#63
28.41.3
30.929.7
Auto9.8
Teleop11.6
End7.6
red by 2.3
9071
#44
26.10.2
21.922.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned