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Red118
493031.7
926041.3
170657.4
Blue151
745763.6
131119.0
233866.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13515550100200250118151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#21
57.41.1
55.854.7
Auto15.6
Teleop34.4
End7.1
blue by 8.8
66.30.6
62.462.9
Auto14.3
Teleop41.4
End8.8
Second
9260
#60
41.31.1
41.740.6
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End3.0
blue by 22.2
7457
#20
63.60.6
62.563.1
Auto14.1
Teleop41.5
End7.2
Third
4930
#59
31.71.1
31.530.4
Auto6.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
red by 12.7
1311
#73
19.00.6
18.719.3
Auto11.2
Teleop5.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned