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Red213
132382.8
409647.2
441468.5
Blue117
170657.4
433655.6
363662.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203174100150250213117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.80.5
82.182.6
Auto20.8
Teleop51.3
End9.3
red by 20.9
62.01.2
62.461.3
Auto12.5
Teleop37.9
End9.6
Second
4414
#17
68.50.5
67.868.3
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
red by 11.0
1706
#21
57.41.2
57.956.7
Auto15.6
Teleop34.4
End7.1
Third
4096
#23
47.20.5
46.547.0
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
blue by 8.4
4336
#22
55.61.2
56.154.9
Auto12.3
Teleop34.2
End7.6