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Red209
233866.3
49847.3
172768.5
Blue185
204674.8
740766.6
198653.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186194120140160220240260280209185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#18
68.50.6
68.969.5
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
blue by 6.3
74.80.1
74.974.8
Auto18.3
Teleop42.8
End10.4
Second
66.30.6
66.767.3
Auto14.3
Teleop41.4
End8.8
blue by 0.4
7407
#31
66.60.1
66.766.6
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End7.5
Third
498
#40
47.30.6
47.748.3
Auto12.3
Teleop26.9
End8.1
blue by 6.5
1986
#10
53.80.1
53.953.8
Auto14.5
Teleop29.5
End8.7