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Red216
132382.8
409647.2
441468.5
Blue135
34162.2
745763.6
248159.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199189140160180220240260216135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.80.6
80.981.5
Auto20.8
Teleop51.3
End9.3
red by 19.2
7457
#20
63.61.0
64.263.2
Auto14.1
Teleop41.5
End7.2
Second
4414
#17
68.50.6
66.567.2
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
red by 6.2
341
#28
62.21.0
62.861.9
Auto14.1
Teleop37.2
End8.8
Third
4096
#23
47.20.6
45.245.9
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
blue by 12.7
59.91.0
60.559.6
Auto15.7
Teleop35.2
End7.9