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Red207
198653.8
204674.8
740766.6
Blue145
335763.7
179653.4
293063.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193184140160200220240260207145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.5
73.974.3
Auto18.3
Teleop42.8
End10.4
red by 11.1
63.70.6
64.363.7
Auto17.1
Teleop34.6
End10.0
Second
7407
#31
66.60.5
65.766.2
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End7.5
red by 3.1
2930
#13
63.60.6
64.263.6
Auto17.1
Teleop37.4
End7.8
Third
1986
#10
53.80.5
52.953.4
Auto14.5
Teleop29.5
End8.7
red by 0.4
1796
#35
53.40.6
54.053.4
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End10.4